Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Things Aren't As Bad As They Were... And That's Good!

Data through June 2009, released today by Standard & Poor's for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, show that the U.S. National Home Price Index improved in the second quarter of 2009.

"For the second month in a row, we're seeing some positive signs," says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's. "The U.S. National Composite rose in the 2nd quarter compared to the 1st quarter of 2009. This is the first time we have seen a positive quarter-over-quarter print in three years.... As seen in both seasonally adjusted and unadjusted data, there are hints of an upward turn from a bottom."

As of the 2nd quarter of 2009, average home prices across the United States are at similar levels to what they were in early 2003. From the peak in the second quarter of 2006, average home prices are down 30.2%.
More upbeat news is seen in the monthly data across other markets; Dallas and Denver have reported four consecutive months of positive returns.

Ed. Note: Based on the table below, it appears that Dallas home prices performed the "best" of the major metropolitan areas studied. Things still aren't great, but Dallas properties are definitely holding their values better than other areas.

The table below summarizes the results for June 2009. The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are revised for the 24 prior months, based on the receipt of additional source data. More than 22 years of history for these data series is available, and can be accessed in full by going to www.homeprice.standardandpoors.com.

Level Change (%) Change (%) Change (%)
U.S. National Index 132.64 2.9% -7.4% -14.9%
June 2009 June/May May/April 1-Year
Metropolitan Level Change (%) Change (%) Change (%)
Area
Atlanta 107.52 1.5% 0.5% -13.7%
Boston 152.71 2.6% 1.6% -5.9%
Charlotte 120.66 0.7% 0.9% -9.6%
Chicago 124.99 1.1% 1.1% -16.7%
Cleveland 106.38 4.2% 4.1% -3.0%
Dallas 119.68 2.7% 1.9% -2.2%
Denver 126.92 2.5% 1.3% -3.6%
Detroit 69.49 -0.8% 0.2% -25.0%
Las Vegas 107.31 -2.0% -2.6% -32.4%
Los Angeles 160.90 1.1% -0.1% -17.8%
Miami 145.37 0.5% -0.8% -23.4%
Minneapolis 113.48 3.1% 1.1% -19.8%
New York 171.49 0.4% 0.2% -11.9%
Phoenix 104.73 1.1% -0.9% -31.6%
Portland 148.47 1.0% 0.1% -15.2%
San Diego 147.31 1.6% 0.4% -16.0%
San Francisco 124.70 3.8% 1.4% -22.0%
Seattle 149.53 0.4% -0.3% -16.1%
Tampa 140.90 0.4% 0.0% -19.5%
Washington 174.32 2.8% 1.3% -11.8%
Composite-10 153.20 1.4% 0.5% -15.1%
Composite-20 141.86 1.4% 0.5% -15.4%
Source: Standard & Poor's and Fiserv

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